2026 C.A.R. Fair Housing Day · UC Berkeley

California is already the future.
Fair housing hasn't caught up.

Oscar Wei's 11-slide presentation, rebuilt as interactive pages. Data from C.A.R., Census, PPIC, Urban Institute, NFHA, and the Othering & Belonging Institute.

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Slides · 3 acts · 1 argument
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"The fair housing industry spent 15 years on race-focused training while the enforcement action was in disability and rentals."

Oscar Wei is Deputy Chief Economist at the California Association of REALTORS®. His closing session at the 5th Annual Fair Housing Day walked the room through three acts: how California is changing, why the outcomes aren't moving, and where the real frontier is. Click any slide below to explore the data interactively.

Act 01
The Demographic Setup
Click any card below to dive into the data, charts, and sources.
01

Aging and Ethnic Change 2020-2040

+115%
CA's 85+ population roughly doubles by 2040
02

Where Immigrants Come From

270K
Immigrants moved to CA in 2024 — Asia + Latin America lead
03

175 Years of Immigration

~35%
CA immigrant share today — historically normal, not new
04

The LGBTQ+ Generational Cliff

23.1%
Gen Z identifies as LGBTQ+ — 12× the Silent Generation
05

Disability Is 28.7% of Adults

61M+
US adults with a disability — most are invisible
Act 02
The Outcomes Aren't Moving
06

CA Racial Homeownership Gap

+7 pts
White-Black gap WIDENED 1980-2020 while others narrowed
07

LGBTQ+ Homeownership Gap

23 pts
Gap between straight/cis and LGBTQ+ — holds at every age
08

2040 Projections by Race

~20 pts
Black-White gap projected to remain in 2040
09

First-Time Buyers "Improvement?"

4% → 4%
Black CA first-time buyers, 2010 and 2025 — zero movement
Act 03
The Frontier
10

Technology and Fair Housing

~8 yrs
Generative AI adoption curve — 10× faster than PC or Internet
11

32,321 Complaints in 2024

54.6%
Disability — larger than race, sex, and national origin combined

Six one-liners from Oscar's deck

On demographics. "California has been 30%+ immigrant for 150 of the last 175 years. The 1950s-70s weren't 'real America' — they were the anomaly."

On LGBTQ+. "Silent Generation at 1.8% versus Gen Z at 23.1% — that's not a trend, it's a cliff. Agents still writing 'his and hers' forms are losing a quarter of Gen Z."

On disability. "28.7% is a bigger share than any ethnic group. Every transaction has a disability dimension somewhere."

On race outcomes. "Black first-time buyers were 4% in 2010 and 4% in 2025. Fifteen years of DEI, zero movement at the entry point."

On technology. "AI tenant screening is the 2026 version of FHA redlining — same algorithmic discrimination, just with better PR."

On enforcement. "54.6% of complaints are disability-based, 83.5% happen in rentals. The industry's DEI attention has been on race and sales — the enforcement action has been on disability and rentals."

The demographic slides say California is the future. The outcome slides say fair housing hasn't moved the number that matters most — Black first-time buyers in 2025 are still at 4%, exactly where they were in 2010. The 5-year reflection should be called the 15-year indictment.